One pick per game · ROI
This page replays a fixed selection rule: at most one published pick per game with a decision-time price. The overall ROI page stakes one unit on every selected market, so a game can contribute several units there.
Which picks to compare
Selection rule
For each game, compare the model’s saved probability × the matching pre-match odds − 1. Select the highest value only when it is at least +0.05 units; otherwise skip the game. Never use final results or later odds in that choice.
Expected profit is a model estimate, not realized profit. This is an in-sample historical replay of a rule chosen after previous results were seen; future performance is unconfirmed.
Cumulative result, units
2026-09-15 — 2026-09-24 · Moscow time
Today is incomplete. Each observation is one settled game with at most one selection.
One unit per selection: a correct pick adds odds minus one, an incorrect pick subtracts one. Earlier results stay in the cumulative total. Past dates reflect the currently confirmed results.
Updated: MSK
Daily values
Settled results · all time
85 games skipped for missing matching odds or insufficient estimated edge; awaiting results: 0.
Which market won the selection
| Market | Picks | Wins | Profit, units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| winner | 7 | 4 | +0.34 | +4.9% |
| totals | 4 | 3 | +0.90 | +22.5% |
| period_3 | 1 | 0 | -1.00 | -100.0% |
Team and matchup checks
These are descriptive slices of the same settled selections. Each team includes its home and away games; matchups ignore home/away order. Small groups fluctuate strongly, so the rule does not automatically exclude a team or pair.
Teams · at least 3 picks
| Team or pair | Picks | Wins | Profit, units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Барыс | 3 | 3 | +2.32 | +77.3% |
Matchups · at least 3 picks
Not enough settled picks yet.
Latest settled choices
| Game | Choice | Price | Profit, units |
|---|---|---|---|
| Амур — ЦСКА2026-09-23 | Under 5.5 | 1.5223.09.2026 11:36 МСК | +0.52 |
| Динамо М — Барыс2026-09-22 | Under 5.5 | 1.6522.09.2026 18:58 МСК | +0.65 |
| Адмирал — ЦСКА2026-09-21 | Under 5.5 | 1.5121.09.2026 12:08 МСК | -1.00 |
| Амур — Северсталь2026-09-21 | Under 1.5 · 3-й период | 2.0121.09.2026 11:20 МСК | -1.00 |
| Динамо Мн — Автомобилист2026-09-20 | Автомобилист | 2.1020.09.2026 16:47 МСК | -1.00 |
| Локомотив — Барыс2026-09-20 | Under 5.5 | 1.7320.09.2026 16:47 МСК | +0.73 |
| Салават Юлаев — Спартак2026-09-20 | Спартак | 2.0720.09.2026 14:19 МСК | -1.00 |
| Салават Юлаев — Нефтехимик2026-09-18 | Нефтехимик | 2.4518.09.2026 16:42 МСК | -1.00 |
| Трактор — Спартак2026-09-18 | Спартак | 1.8018.09.2026 16:41 МСК | +0.80 |
| Лада — Барыс2026-09-16 | Барыс | 1.9416.09.2026 17:55 МСК | +0.94 |
| Сибирь — Нефтехимик2026-09-16 | Нефтехимик | 2.0516.09.2026 15:02 МСК | +1.05 |
| Трактор — Локомотив2026-09-15 | Локомотив | 1.5515.09.2026 12:53 МСК | +0.55 |