One pick per game · ROI
Recorded choices and their season ROI are shown first. Below is a separate historical replay of the same rule. The overall ROI page counts every selected market separately, so one game can contribute several conditional units there.
Which picks to compare
Recorded choices · season result
Only choices actually saved before faceoff count here. The pick, matching price and decision time stay fixed after the game. One conditional unit per selected game; no real bet is placed.
| Season ID | Settled choices | Pending | Profit, units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1436 | 0 | 1 | +0.00 | — |
Historical replay rule
For each game, compare the model’s saved probability × the matching pre-match odds − 1. Select the highest value only when it is at least +0.05 units; otherwise skip the game. Never use final results or later odds in that choice.
Expected profit is a model estimate, not realized profit. This is an in-sample historical replay of a rule chosen after previous results were seen; future performance is unconfirmed.
Cumulative result, units
2026-09-15 — 2026-09-24 · Moscow time
Today is incomplete. Each observation is one settled game with at most one selection.
One unit per selection: a correct pick adds odds minus one, an incorrect pick subtracts one. Earlier results stay in the cumulative total. Past dates reflect the currently confirmed results.
Updated: MSK
Daily values
Historical replay · settled results
78 games skipped for missing matching odds or insufficient estimated edge; awaiting results: 4.
Which market won the selection
| Market | Picks | Wins | Profit, units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| winner | 7 | 4 | +0.34 | +4.9% |
| totals | 5 | 4 | +1.33 | +26.6% |
| period_2 | 1 | 0 | -1.00 | -100.0% |
| period_3 | 2 | 0 | -2.00 | -100.0% |
Team and matchup checks
These are descriptive slices of the same settled selections. Each team includes its home and away games; matchups ignore home/away order. Small groups fluctuate strongly, so the rule does not automatically exclude a team or pair.
Teams · at least 3 picks
| Team or pair | Picks | Wins | Profit, units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Барыс | 3 | 2 | +0.67 | +22.3% |
| Локомотив | 3 | 3 | +1.79 | +59.7% |
| ЦСКА | 3 | 2 | +0.09 | +3.0% |
Matchups · at least 3 picks
Not enough settled picks yet.
Latest settled choices
| Game | Choice | Price | Profit, units |
|---|---|---|---|
| Амур — ЦСКА2026-09-23 | Under 5.5 | 1.5223.09.2026 11:36 МСК | +0.52 |
| Динамо М — Барыс2026-09-22 | Under 1.5 · 3-й периодOn correction · not public | 2.0822.09.2026 18:58 МСК | -1.00 |
| Торпедо — Авангард2026-09-22 | Under 1.5 · 2-й периодOn correction · not public | 1.9922.09.2026 18:51 МСК | -1.00 |
| Адмирал — ЦСКА2026-09-21 | Under 5.5 | 1.5121.09.2026 12:08 МСК | -1.00 |
| Амур — Северсталь2026-09-21 | Under 1.5 · 3-й период | 2.0121.09.2026 11:20 МСК | -1.00 |
| Динамо Мн — Автомобилист2026-09-20 | Автомобилист | 2.1020.09.2026 16:47 МСК | -1.00 |
| Локомотив — Барыс2026-09-20 | Under 5.5 | 1.7320.09.2026 16:47 МСК | +0.73 |
| Салават Юлаев — Спартак2026-09-20 | Спартак | 2.0720.09.2026 14:19 МСК | -1.00 |
| Торпедо — ЦСКА2026-09-18 | Under 5.5On correction · not public | 1.5718.09.2026 19:11 МСК | +0.57 |
| Локомотив — Авангард2026-09-18 | Under 5.5On correction · not public | 1.5118.09.2026 19:11 МСК | +0.51 |
| Салават Юлаев — Нефтехимик2026-09-18 | Нефтехимик | 2.4518.09.2026 16:42 МСК | -1.00 |
| Трактор — Спартак2026-09-18 | Спартак | 1.8018.09.2026 16:41 МСК | +0.80 |
| Лада — Барыс2026-09-16 | Барыс | 1.9416.09.2026 17:55 МСК | +0.94 |
| Сибирь — Нефтехимик2026-09-16 | Нефтехимик | 2.0516.09.2026 15:02 МСК | +1.05 |
| Трактор — Локомотив2026-09-15 | Локомотив | 1.5515.09.2026 12:53 МСК | +0.55 |